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US stocks jumped on Monday, extending gains from last week as investors digest Q1 earnings results. Also on the radar is this week's Federal Reserve meeting and interest rate decision and the April jobs report. Amazon and Apple will headline this week's earnings results, and an additional 170 S&P 500 companies are expected to report their results throughout the week. So far, about half of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings results. Apart from earnings, investors will be paying close attention to the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting on Wednesday.
Persons: , Jerome Powell Organizations: Apple, Reserve, Service, Federal, Macquarie Locations: Fundstrat, Here's
From deeps rate cuts to a potential rate hike in 2024, one firm has changed its forecast in a big way. Macquarie said the resilient economy means potential interest rate cuts won't happen until 2025. Assuming the central bank moves the federal funds rate down by 25 basis point increments, that would equate to nine interest rate cuts just this year. AdvertisementThat lack of economic weakness has led to a stark shift in interest rate forecasts, with even the Federal Reserve suggesting that its initial projections of three interest rate cuts this year could dwindle to one rate cut or even none. That could be a double whammy for a stock market that had been largely fixated on interest rate cuts this year.
Persons: Macquarie, , David Doyle, Neil Shankar, Jerome Powell Organizations: Service, Macquarie, Federal Reserve, Fed, UBS
Economists polled by Dow Jones forecast GDP growth would come in at 2.4%. Tech tumbleThe lackluster GDP added further pressure to an already-tense market contending with concerns over a pullback in growth among technology earnings. "This report was the worst of both worlds: economic growth is slowing and inflationary pressures are persisting," wrote Chris Zaccarelli, investment chief at Independent Advisor Alliance. Investors are hoping the PCE report, which is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, will show an improvement in pricing pressures after the March consumer inflation report came in hotter than expected. — Brian Evans8:58 a.m.: 10-year Treasury yield jumps to highest level since NovemberThe 10-year Treasury yield broke above 4.7% following the GDP report, hitting its highest level since November.
Persons: Johannes Eisele, Dow Jones, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, Meta, Thierry Wizman, UnitedHealth, Alex Harring, Mark Zuckerberg's, Hakyung Kim, Fred Imbert, Chris Zaccarelli, Sarah Min, — Brian Evans, — Jesse Pound Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, AFP, Getty, Dow Jones, Caterpillar, IBM, Nasdaq, Dow, Federal Reserve, Federal, Traders, Meta, Business Machines, FX, Macquarie, Microsoft, Amazon, Merck, York Stock Exchange, Independent, Alliance, Investors, Treasury, Gross
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHigher oil prices from escalating Israel-Iran tensions will make the Fed more dovish: StrategistViktor Shvets of Macquarie Capital says "risk is everywhere", and policy makers and central banks will look through risks and supply side disruptions.
Persons: Viktor Shvets, Macquarie Capital Organizations: Macquarie Locations: Israel, Iran
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailYields are going to creep higher across the curve, says Macquarie Group's Thierry WizmanBarbara Doran, BD8 Capital Partners CIO, and Thierry Wizman, Macquarie Group Global Interest Rates & Currencies strategist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk United earnings, the day's market action, recent Fed speak, and more.
Persons: Macquarie, Thierry Wizman Barbara Doran, Thierry Wizman Organizations: BD8 Capital, Macquarie Group
New Delhi/London CNN —In just a few days, India will commence the world’s largest democratic election. So, is the hype around Modi’s India, which remains a largely impoverished country, justified? The world’s largest biometric database has also helped the government save millions by reducing corruption in welfare initiatives. Domestic investors, both retail and institutional, have been driving India’s stock market to unprecedented peaks. Still, India’s economy, much like its democracy, is far from perfect.
Persons: Narendra Modi, Indranil Mukherjee, Modi, Himanshu Sharma, Guido Cozzi, Arun Sankar, Billionaire Elon Musk Organizations: London CNN —, Getty, CNN, World, University of St, Unified, Bank, , National Stock Exchange of India, bourse, Bombay Stock Exchange, NSE, Shenzhen Stock Exchange, Hong Kong Exchange, World Federation of Exchanges, Macquarie Capital, Apple, Foxconn, Billionaire, International Labour Organization Locations: New Delhi, London, India, China, Beijing, Ajmer, Rajasthan, University of St Gallen, Switzerland, Asia’s, Washington, Sriperumbudur, Chennai, Mumbai's Churchgate, AFP
Yen crumbles under towering dollar and U.S. Treasury yields
  + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
In this photo illustration, the man is holding several U.S. dollar bills with some Chinese yuan in the background. The yen struggled to break away from a 34-year low on Friday and was headed for a weekly decline, while the dollar hovered near a five-month high alongside U.S. Treasury yields as traders heavily scaled back bets for a slew of U.S. rate cuts this year. The yen was last marginally higher at 153.17 per dollar, languishing near a 34-year trough of 153.32 per dollar hit in the previous session on the back of a surge in U.S. Treasury yields, which the dollar/yen pair tends to closely track. The benchmark 10-year yield was last at 4.5784%, flirting with a five-month peak of 4.5930% hit in the previous session. The renewed dollar strength also weighed on the Australian and New Zealand dollars , which each fell 0.02%.
Persons: Tony Sycamore, Shunichi Suzuki, David Doyle Organizations: U.S, Treasury, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve, IG, Japanese Finance, ECB, New, Macquarie Locations: U.S, United States, freefall, Tokyo, New Zealand
A deal like this would allow Google to better compete with Salesforce in customer relationship management software, and it makes sense strategically as Google looks to grow its share in the cloud market. Deal or no deal, all the talk has made one thing clear: Wall Street is kind of obsessed with HubSpot. "With Salesforce, you need a Salesforce administrator," said Rishi Jaluria, managing director of software equity research at RBC Capital Markets. If Google does make an offer to acquire HubSpot, it will be up to HubSpot whether to accept — and it may not accept, Havemeyer wrote in the note. HubSpot has also disclosed that it is a Google Workspace customer and uses Google Cloud as its international cloud.
Persons: , HubSpot, Salesforce, Rishi Jaluria, William Blair, cohead Arjun Bhatia, Fred Havemeyer, Havemeyer Organizations: Service, Reuters, Google, Business, Wall Street, Big Tech, RBC Capital Markets, HubSpot, Macquarie Locations: HubSpot
The funding bonanza over AI could add lots of hype and "maybe some grifting," says Demis Hassabis. "In a way, AI's not hyped enough but in some senses it's too hyped," the Google DeepMind chief said. "In a way, AI's not hyped enough but in some senses it's too hyped," Hassabis the Financial Times in a story published Sunday. The fervor amongst investors for AI, Hassabis told the Financial Times, reminded him of "other hyped-up areas" like crypto. "Some of that has now spilled over into AI, which I think is a bit unfortunate," Hassabis told the outlet.
Persons: Demis Hassabis, AI's, , Hassabis, Fred Havemeyer, Havemeyer, We've, Gary Gensler, Gensler Organizations: Google, Investors, Service, Financial Times, Financial, Amazon, CNBC, Securities and Exchange Commission, SEC, Business Insider
A significant chunk of that money was strategic, in that it came from tech companies rather than venture capitalists or other institutions. The company has refocused much of its product development on generative AI, and its newly rebranded Gemini model, adding features into search, documents, maps and elsewhere. Alphabet and Nvidia are also investors in Runway ML, a generative AI company known for its video-editing and visual effects tools. Microsoft has invested in many of the techniques underpinning generative AI through its Microsoft Research division. Apple researchers recently published details of their work on MM1, a family of small AI models that can take both text and visual input.
Persons: Satya Nadella, Sam Altman, Justin Sullivan, Claude, Fred Havemeyer, Havemeyer, that's, Anthropic, Gemini Ai, Michael M, It's, Amy Hood, dealmaking Daniel Newman, Mustafa Suleyman, Newman, Lina Khan Organizations: Getty, Getty Images Tech, aren't, GPT, Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Nvidia, Google, Web Services, Amazon, Santiago, AMD, Runway ML, Mistral, Big Tech, Microsoft Research, Baidu, Futurum, Anthropic, Federal Trade Commission Locations: San Francisco, Macquarie, Anthropic, New York City, Mistral, U.S, China
Oil to grind higher, says Macquarie's Vikas Dwivedi
  + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil to grind higher, says Macquarie's Vikas DwivediVikas Dwivedi, Macquarie Global Energy Strategist, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss the state of energy and where investors can find opportunity.
Persons: Macquarie's Vikas Dwivedi Vikas Dwivedi Organizations: Macquarie Global Energy
Dollar dips, yen draws support from Tokyo's jawboning
  + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar was on the back foot on Tuesday, owing to profit taking and pressured in part by a slightly stronger yen as Japanese government officials continued with their jawboning to defend the currency. The dollar was on the back foot on Tuesday, owing to profit taking and pressured in part by a slightly stronger yen as Japanese government officials continued with their jawboning to defend the currency. "But it's even tougher for the (dollar) to weaken when other central banks were sounding more dovish than a dovish Fed." The dollar index was last 0.02% lower at 104.20, while the euro rose 0.03% to $1.0840. "While they say that the fundamentals don't justify the price, the market's telling them something else," said IG's Sycamore.
Persons: he's, Tony Sycamore, Thierry Wizman, Shunichi Suzuki Organizations: New Zealand, Federal, IG, FX, Macquarie, Fed, Japanese Finance, Bank of Japan's Locations: U.S, Japan, United States, Sycamore
Oil prices were on track to gain for a second straight day on Tuesday after settling up more than a dollar on expectations of tighter supply driven by Russian production cuts and attacks on Russian refineries. Crude oil gained on supply side issues and continued Middle East tensions, according to a note from ANZ analysts. Russia told its oil companies to reduce output to meet an Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, or OPEC, target of 9 million barrels per day (bpd). At the same time, Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil refineries have continued. Russia's Kuibyshev refinery had to shut half of its capacity after a fire broke out there on Saturday morning.
Persons: Kuibyshev, Walt Chancellor, Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel's Organizations: ANZ, Petroleum, Macquarie, United Nations Security, Hamas Locations: Brent, Russia, Israel, Red, Gaza, Rafah, U.S
Yen holds nerve as BOJ decision looms; dollar resurgent
  + stars: | 2024-03-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The yen was last little changed at 149.14 per dollar, while the Australian dollar fell 0.06% $0.6556. Against the euro, the yen steadied at 162.18, with the Japanese currency likewise little changed against the Aussie at 97.78. So BOJ's decisions generally are, as far as the yen is concerned, a matter of secondary importance," said Berry. "Holding policy rates steady and policy guidance broadly unchanged seems like a reasonably straightforward decision in the presence of high uncertainty," said Carl Ang, fixed income research analyst at MFS Investment Management. The New Zealand dollar was similarly pinned near Monday's two-week low and last bought $0.6079.
Persons: Gareth Berry, It's, they're, it's, Berry, Carl Ang, Sterling, , Goldman Sachs, David Mericle Organizations: Bank of Japan, U.S, Reserve Bank of Australia, Aussie, Nikkei, Macquarie, Federal Reserve, MFS Investment Management, U.S ., New Zealand Locations: Bath, England, Asia, Japan, United States, Down, Australia, Monday's
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMore upside opportunity for the S&P 500 between now and year end: Evans May Wealth's Brooke MayBrook May, Evans May Wealth managing partner and Viktor Shvets, Macquarie Capital head of global desk strategy, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: Evans, Wealth's Brooke May, Viktor Shvets Organizations: Wealth, Macquarie Capital
Pixelseffect | E+ | Getty ImagesSome grocery store products are providing less for your money. At the State of the Union, he again took a stand against shrinkflation, complaining that Snickers bars have become smaller. on X earlier this month, the White House responded, "C is for consumers getting ripped off." Where consumers may see shrinkflationFor now, it's up to consumers to spot the changes companies may make to their products. Why critics say shrinkflation is the wrong focusWhile shrinkflation is now under the political spotlight, not all experts agree the emphasis is correctly placed.
Persons: Joe Biden, Cookie, Biden, hasn't, Cookie Monster, Mara Weinraub, Weinraub, Shrinkflation, shrinkflation, Veronique de Rugy, de Rugy, David Doyle, Justin Sullivan Organizations: State, Union, shrinkflation, White, Federal Trade Commission, FTC, of Labor, Finance, Social, Federal, Labor Statistics, of Labor Statistics, George Mason University, Costco, Getty Locations: U.S, California, Macquarie, Novato , California
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're at the start of a huge AI investment cycle, says BofA's Ohsung KwonThierry Wizman, Macquarie global interest rates & currencies strategist and Ohsung Kwon, Bank of America senior U.S. equity strategist, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: BofA's Ohsung Kwon Thierry Wizman, Ohsung Kwon Organizations: Bank of America Locations: Macquarie
EIU also expects the Bank of Japan will exit its negative interest rate policy in the second quarter. Markets currently expect the Fed to start with a 25-basis-point rate cut in June. Euro zoneThe European Central Bank last week also held its policy rate at a record high of 4%, signaling that it won't cut rates before June. JPMorgan said in a research note that the Turkish central bank may cut its policy rate in November and December, keeping its year-end policy rate forecast of 45%. IndonesiaIndonesia's central bank kept its benchmark policy rate at 6% in its recent meeting.
Persons: EIU, Jerome Powell, LSEG, Nomura, Perry Warjiyo, CNBC's JP Ong, BOK, Goldman Sachs, Goohoon Kwon, Kwon Organizations: Getty, Economist Intelligence Unit, Bank of Japan, United, United States U.S, Federal, Fed, European Central Bank, ECB, Swiss National Bank, UBS, Bank of Canada, Bank of, JPMorgan, Reserve Bank of, ANZ, New Zealand Auckland Savings Bank, Bank, Bank Indonesia, BMI, Fitch Solutions, U.S, Oxford Economics, Macquarie Locations: Czech, China, Japan, United States, Switzerland Swiss, Bank of Canada, Turkey, Turkish, Reserve Bank of Australia, New, Indonesia, South Korea, Asia
OPEC likely to extend cuts throughout rest of year: Strategist
  + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOPEC is 'pretty likely' to extend oil production cuts throughout the rest of the year: StrategistVikas Dwivedi, global oil and gas strategist at Macquarie Group, says that's because "without the cuts, OPEC gets in a bit of a jam."
Persons: Vikas Dwivedi Organizations: OPEC, Macquarie Group
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's still too early for AI-related productivity gains to save the U.S. from secular stagnationViktor Shvets of Macquarie Capital says that the U.S. will continue to need fiscal and monetary stimulas in order for the economy to grow and that productivity gains from AI are still 5 to 10 years away.
Persons: Viktor Shvets Organizations: Macquarie Capital Locations: U.S
Inflation is down from its hottest point in 2022, but is still warm, considering the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target. Real wages are on the rise, said Hamrick, which means people are seeing wages adjusted for inflation. When interest rates may subsideOne factor that affects how well Americans are doing — for better or for worse — is interest rates. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates this year, after having executed a series of rate increases to tamp down inflation. "We don't perceive there to be like an imminent pressure on the Fed to cut rates," such as a recession or sudden rise in unemployment, Doyle said.
Persons: Elijah Nouvelage, Mark Hamrick, David Doyle, Doyle, Hamrick Organizations: Kroger, AFP, Getty, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Federal Locations: Atlanta, Macquarie
"We initiate coverage on Regeneron with an Outperform rating and $1,125 price target." Canaccord reiterates MicroStrategy as buy Canaccord raised its price target on the crypto company to $1,810 per share from $975. "We are initiating coverage of The New York Times with a Buy rating and a $52 target price. "DG – Upgrading to Neutral Raising Price Target to $158." "We are initiating coverage of Central Garden & Pet ( CENT) with a BUY rating and $52 price target."
Persons: Bernstein, Morgan Stanley, Tesla, it's, optionality, Canaccord, Goldman Sachs, PDD, Goldman, Jefferies, underperform Jefferies, Raymond James, underperform Raymond James, Argus, Evercore, William Blair, Goldman Sacks Organizations: Citi, New York Times, Nike, JPMorgan, RBC, Bank of America, Apple, Oracle, Central, FedEx, Macquarie, Sony Locations: China
A record-breaking rally for gold may yet continue, particularly as investors position for interest rate cuts — but analysts say silver appears well placed to outshine the yellow metal in the second half of the year. Spot gold prices on Monday edged higher to $2,178 per ounce, after settling at their highest since 1979 on Thursday last week. Spot silver prices, meanwhile, were last seen up 0.2% at $24.36 per ounce at 6:24 a.m. London time (1:24 a.m. Precious metal prices have pushed higher in recent weeks amid growing expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts. Gold, which is typically considered a "safe haven" asset at times of financial uncertainty, has rallied despite high interest rates and a relatively strong U.S. dollar.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Marcus Garvey, CNBC's Organizations: Macquarie Locations: London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe expect the Bank of Japan to exit negative rates in April: Macquarie Group strategistThierry Wizman, global interest rates and currencies strategist at Macquarie Group, discusses how wage growth in Japan could affect the central bank's monetary policy.
Persons: Thierry Wizman Organizations: Bank of Japan, Macquarie Group Locations: Japan
WBD generated $6.2 billion of free cash flow through 2023 and likely shelled out around $1.4 billion of that for NBA games. Analysts estimate that figure would be closer to $2 billion if WBD re-ups its NBA package. WBD wants a big NBA deal, despite Wall Street's wishesSixteen months ago, Zaslav said WBD didn't "have to have" the NBA. NBA ratings have been lackluster lately, with national TV games averaging 1.6 million viewers in the last two seasons. Zaslav's latest public remarks on the NBA negotiations reflect that.
Persons: , Shaquille O'Neal, Charles Barkley, Tim Nollen, Max, Jason Bazinet, WBD, David Zaslav, it's, Jessica Reif Ehrlich, Wall, Zaslav, John Hodulik, Chuck, Ernie Johnson Organizations: Service, Basketball Hall of Famers, NBA, TNT, ESPN, Warner Bros, Business, Media, Amazon, NBC, Comcast, Apple, Netflix, WWE, Macquarie, Disney, Fox, Cable, Citigroup, Warners, of America, Street, Zaz, UBS Locations: Shaq
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